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View Full Version : Chess predictions for 2024



Kevin Pacey
12-31-2023, 01:02 PM
Here are my chess related predictions for 2024 (take all with a grain of salt, as my predictive record not perfect):

1. Vlad Drkulec will continue to be president of the CFC after the 2024 CFC AGM;
2. The CFC will have 5,000+ members before 2024 ends;
3. Canadian GM Kevin Spraggett will not post a long promised expose of the CFC on his blog in 2024;
4. Another female player will break into FIDE's top 10 rated players list (i.e. regardless of gender) before 2024 ends;
5. A 2700+ FIDE rated player will be seriously accused of cheating in a chess event somewhere before 2024 ends.

Victor Plotkin
01-08-2024, 12:54 PM
4 - very unlikely. I don't expect any female player in top-100 (not just top-10) in the next 5 years.

Kevin Pacey
01-10-2024, 09:10 PM
A Google blurb gives Hou Yifan as in top 100 overall currently.

Victor Plotkin
01-10-2024, 09:26 PM
I guess FIDE is more reliable source in this case. Hou Yifan rated 2632, while 100th player is rated 2641. She doesn't play a lot recently. Indeed, some random fluctuation could bring her to 2640 level, so she has a minor chance to became top-100 player again.

Kevin Pacey
01-10-2024, 09:43 PM
She is only 29 currently (Google again). Some hope. As a prognosticator I have to give some speculative prediction(s) for the sake of sensationalism, along with the safer ones. :)