So far 4 votes, all cast for the Liberals to win this year's federal election. Mine included, although I'd much rather it's not going to be the case, and the Conservatives current lead in real world polling would hold up.
As I see it, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer only has to make one or two relatively minor mistakes leading up to the election, and his party's lead will vanish, thanks to the largely biased media coverage in favour of the Liberals. There's also that Justin Trudeau has more raw charisma, in spite of all the stumbles (remember that bias of the media coverage, or lack of coverage). The Liberals still will have a large chunk of the youth vote, the female vote and the pothead vote going for them, also. They're currently making moves to rescue some of the environmental vote back. Quite possibly they'll take a good chunk of the Maritimes seats as usual, besides that of Quebec, and the split in Ontario will largely decide it, with PC premier Ford probably hurting Scheer to some extent even if he tries even more to avoid that - that bias, again (that, plus with whatever support is in the West, will determine whether the Liberals will have to settle for a Minority).
There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.
Hamlet (1.5.167-8), Hamlet to Horatio.